Tag: Teeka Tiwari The Investment of The Decade Review

It’s a tall task to put a future value on bitcoin. Today I’ll show you Bitcoin’s Most Important Chart. It doesn’t come with a price forecast. But it does plot bitcoin’s future direction.

By Grant Wasylik, analyst, Palm Beach Daily

It’s a tall task to put a future value on bitcoin.

Why?

Old school valuation methods don’t work for bitcoin and other cryptos.

Ratios like price-to-earnings, price-to-sales, and price-to-cash flow are irrelevant. Unlike companies in the stock market, bitcoin doesn’t produce revenues, earnings, or cash flows.

Now, that doesn’t stop investors from trying to peg a future price. There are alternative methods – different than how we value traditional assets – to attempt to value bitcoin.

We’ve done it in Palm Beach Daily. In May, we walked you through four different valuation models: exponential price growth trend, Metcalfe’s Law, stock-to-flow ratio, and gold-to-bitcoin ratio.

Each of those four charts predicts bitcoin will hit at least $100,000 by the end of 2021.

Today, I’ll show you a different chart. It doesn’t come with a price forecast. But it does plot bitcoin’s future direction.

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Bitcoin’s Most Important Chart

A little more than a month ago, I traveled to Orlando for a Bitcoin & Blockchain Educational Class & Luncheon via a special invitation.

Brian Estes (CIO – Off the Chain Capital), Perianne Boring (Founder & President – Chamber of Digital Commerce), and Tim Keefe (Partner – LedgerStat Capital) hosted the event.

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For about two hours, these three renowned experts lectured a sold-out audience of 40 attendees. They covered everything from the history of money to blockchain basics to why bitcoin belongs in a diversified investment portfolio.

I learned several things at this event. But my greatest takeaway came from one chart.

Here it is:

Source: Off the Chain Capital

S-Curve analysis explores the adoption path of new technologies. It shows the time it takes for a new technology to go from 0% to 10% adoption is the same time it takes it to go from 10% to 90% adoption.

You can see what I’m talking about in this second chart, which shows the S-curve for various other technologies…

New technologies, such as bitcoin, can be valued by the “network effect.” What this means is that adding new users to a network results in its exponential gains in value.

Think about computers. Apple invented the personal computer (PC) in 1977. In 1980, about one-tenth of 1% of households owned a PC.

So, let’s use 1980 as the start of the PC revolution. By 1990, 10% of households owned PCs. And in 2000, 90% of households had a PC. So it took 10 years to go from 0% to 10% adoption, and 10 years to go from 10% to 90% adoption.

If you invested in the 10–90% area, you invested in companies like Dell, Microsoft, Intel, etc. From 1990–2000, Dell was up 88,918%… Microsoft was up 9,562%… and Intel was up 3,788%. Early S-curve investors made a lot of money.

Bitcoin is on the same path…

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Back in 2016, few believed bitcoin was a viable long-term investment. It was called a fad and a fraud, and some even dismissed it as a currency for criminals. But we knew they were off the mark.

At that same time, we were telling readers to get in early… that the naysayers were wrong and bitcoin adoption would explode. And we were right.

Investors who took our advice at that time made life-changing gains. They turned $500 into $14,982 by 2019… $1,000 into $29,964… gains of nearly 3000%. And all occurred in the “too early” stage, when only about 10% of households owned the currency.

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Today, about 15% of households own bitcoin. So if its growth trajectory is akin to the internet, cell phone, and microwave, then 90% of households will own bitcoin by 2029.

Bitcoin is at $11,000–$12,000 today because only 100–200 million people are using it. In 10 years, when billions of people are using bitcoin, its value will be exponentially greater.

But by then, the biggest gains will be gone.

It’s Not Too Late

Time is the key variable in investing.

The S-curve is a proven method to know when to get on the train and when to get off. And the most significant gains on the S-curve are between 10% and 90% adoption.

Right now, bitcoin’s adoption rate is 15%. It’s still early in the cycle. You still have time to get on the train.

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But bitcoin adoption is swiftly accelerating. Wall Street has started to ante up. Hedge fund managers, large custodians, publicly traded companies, and wealth management firms are buying bitcoin. And more retail investors are buying, too.

That’s why it’s so important to get in at the early part of the S-Curve.

And getting in early is something Teeka told readers about way back in 2018:

The adoption of the crypto asset class by hundreds of millions of traditional investors is about to take a gigantic leap forward…

Those who position themselves now before this onrush of new investors will be in place to make truly life-changing wealth.

Remember, bitcoin has a fixed supply. With fixed supply and increased demand, prices have nowhere to go but up.

But bitcoin’s price won’t go up forever. It will go up as the adoption cycle moves to 90%… And after that, it’ll be too late.

If you don’t own bitcoin, act now.

Be responsible and start with a small stake of 1–2%. Put it away for the long term. And wait for adoption to spike.

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As I mentioned above, the S-curve method tells us bitcoin – and crypto – adoption will skyrocket over the coming months. And Teeka believes it’ll spark a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity…

Because of its underlying blockchain technology, he’s also convinced we’re about to see the biggest wealth and power shift in U.S. history.

According to Teeka, those who take the right steps now could fantastically grow their wealth… Those who don’t will be left behind.

He put together this new presentation to explain all the details…

When it comes to giving you guidance on what to do with your money, you better believe the size of a person’s wallet matters. That’s because we’re talking about potentially life-changing money you could lose out on if you listen to the not-yet-millionaire “nervous-nellies.” If you end up with no exposure to bitcoin, it’d be like burying your money in the backyard during the most epic stock market run in history.

By Teeka Tiwari, editor, Palm Beach Daily

Who do you want to pay attention to?

As a person who reads investment newsletters, essays, and opinion pieces, this is a critical question I want you to ask yourself.

You see, it’s easy to agree with people who promote beliefs that align with your own… but does that work when it comes to investing?

My experience is no. It does not.

People who create real wealth from the financial markets are wired differently. They’re rarely the most agreed with because – to make real wealth from financial assets – you have to buy things when everyone else is scared of them.

For instance, in 2015, I gave a keynote speech to a sold-out audience at our annual PBRG Infinity conference. It’s an exclusive event reserved for our best subscribers.

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At the time, the previous bull market was just over five years old. The S&P 500 was above 2,000. But many investors back then didn’t believe it could continue roaring higher.

One speaker even recommended burying your money in your backyard and staying out of the stock market altogether.

When I took the stage, I offered the exact opposite advice.

I told everyone in the room we were on the doorstep of a massive rally in stocks… and that everyone should dive headfirst into equities.

To say people thought I was nuts was an understatement. The more polite members of the crowd muttered to themselves. The bolder ones told me to my face how wrong I was.

People I respected and liked were all but telling me to my face that I was a fool. I laughed it off… but it hurt. “Was I wrong?” I wondered to myself.

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I reexamined the facts. They screamed, “Buy, buy, buy.” So I decided to brush off the naysayers and stick to my guns… And boy, I’m glad I did.

Time has proved me right. Since my 2015 speech, the S&P 500 is up over 64%. And stocks I’ve recommended along the way like Nvidia have been up as much as 580%.

Meanwhile, if you buried all of your cash in the backyard as the other speaker recommended, inflation actually ate away at your savings…

I’m still mad at myself because I should’ve done more to convince more people to get into stocks in 2015.

I didn’t because I was afraid I’d look foolish. I vowed never to buckle under self-centered fears like that again.

In 2016, I had a chance to redeem myself… and I did.

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My Redemption Moment

That’s when I first recommended bitcoin at about $400. Herds of analysts (with nary a millionaire among them) howled that I was being irresponsible by recommending “magic internet money.”

One analyst in particular wrote a scathing email to me predicting utter doom. He went so far as to warn another person not to work with me on a joint effort to promote bitcoin to our shared readers. Fortunately, the person chose to listen to me and not the other analyst’s “nervous-nellie” rantings.

He put his readers in the position to make huge profits from a string of winners that went up as much as 7,000%, 15,000%, and 150,000%.

Today, I’m proud to say I continue to promote crypto assets with everything I have in me. In my opinion, crypto has – and will – continue to change the lives of my subscribers for the better.

I mention all of this because – once again – we’re seeing some negative headlines about crypto in general – and specifically bitcoin – that has analysts and commentators alike howling about the dangers of bitcoin once again.

But are these people worth listening to? Have they gained our trust as people that know how to make and keep large amounts of money?

Before you answer that question, consider this…

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Jack Dorsey has founded two companies, Twitter and Square, with a combined market cap of nearly $120 billion. He’s worth $8 billion.

Dorsey believes bitcoin will grow to become the world’s primary currency. He even had his company Square invest $50 million into bitcoin.

Paul Tudor Jones is a legendary hedge fund manager. He’s worth about $5.8 billion and manages a shade under $40 billion. Over the last 30-plus years, he’s made tens of billions in profits for his clients. He recently put 2% of his net worth into bitcoin.

Tim Draper made over a billion dollars from venture capital investing. And he owns approximately $342 million worth of bitcoin. He projects bitcoin will hit $250,000.

MicroStrategy, a Nasdaq-listed company, has invested $425 million of its corporate treasury into bitcoin. Several other corporate treasuries also hold millions of dollars’ worth of bitcoin.

Now, add to all of that: The most powerful bank regulator in the United States – the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) – has already given banks the green light to both custody and create crypto based-products.

Then ask yourself: Do you want to listen to people who have a demonstrated track record of amassing billions of dollars in wealth? Or do you want to listen to analysts and commentators who aren’t even millionaires – let alone billionaires?

I know that’s harsh… And I want you to know I understand a person’s value isn’t in the size of their wallet. But when it comes to giving you guidance on what to do with your money, you better believe the size of a person’s wallet matters.

That’s because we’re talking about potentially life-changing money you could lose out on if you listen to the not-yet-millionaire “nervous-nellies.” If you end up with no exposure to bitcoin, it’d be like burying your money in the backyard during the most epic stock market run in history.

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Not My First Rodeo

This isn’t the first time I’ve heard people predicting the imminent demise of bitcoin. Bitcoin has been declared dead at least 382 times since it was created in 2010.

The oldest recorded obituary came on December 15, 2010, when a commentator wrote, “Why Bitcoin can’t be a currency.” The most recent came on September 4, 2020, when another commentator wrote, “Bitcoin is Worthless in (the) Long-term.”

From December 2010 to its peak, bitcoin rose 6,660,566%. Even after the brutal 2018 crypto winner, bitcoin is still up 3,798,900%. Meanwhile, stocks are up only 175%, gold 37%, and if you simply buried cash over the past 10 years… it’s worth less today than it was in 2010.

Look, I know smart people can disagree about the merits of bitcoin. But friends, the truth is, the bitcoin adoption train has already left the station…

Consider the following:

Fidelity Investments, Visa, MasterCard, PayPal… they’re all already working with bitcoin. The CME, the CBOE, and the Intercontinental Exchange (owner of the NYSE) have all approved bitcoin-trading products.

Bitcoin is well on its way to being integrated into the global financial system… whether the naysayers choose to accept that or not.

Switzerland – which has the highest percentage of ultra-high net worth individuals in the world – has already passed laws to integrate bitcoin into the very fabric of its society. The World Economic Forum has created a consortium to write rules that will incorporate crypto into global finance.

Long story short: Adoption of bitcoin as a legitimate asset is already underway. Ignoring that is the same as burying money in your backyard. Sure, it might make you feel safe… but it won’t make you a dime.

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Because of my track record, I’ve been called America’s No. 1 investor. And like my outlandishly bullish call on the S&P 500, today, I’m going to put my track record and reputation on the line, once again…

It’s a technology so disruptive I believe it will be the No. 1 investment of the decade. I’m talking about blockchain – the underlying technology of bitcoin.

In all my time as a Wall Street exec – and in more than three decades in finance – I’ve never been so convinced of an investment’s potential. I firmly believe this will be the single-best place to grow your money in the next 10 years…

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Uncovering opportunities in the fledgling crypto space wasn’t easy. I’ve easily spent hundreds of thousands of dollars and put in thousands of hours of legwork to find cryptos with the potential to unleash life-changing gains. Here’s why I’m telling you this…

By Teeka Tiwari, editor, Palm Beach Daily

One look at the stack of documents in front of me, and I knew it was going to be a long night…

I had been wracking my brain trying to figure out the weirdest thing I had ever seen. Billions of dollars were flowing into brand-new crypto projects that were paying people to borrow money.

It would’ve been easy to write all this off as just a speculative excess with no long-term value. But more than $9 billion had already flowed into these new crypto projects.

This crypto technology could revolutionize nearly every industry – and change your life forever.

I couldn’t ignore that. It reminded me of the mistake I had made with bitcoin back in 2011.

At the time, bitcoin was trading at $7, but I dismissed it out of hand as “magic internet money.”

I wouldn’t become a buyer until 2016… when it hit $428. The quick snap judgement I made five years earlier ended up costing me untold millions in lost potential profits.

I didn’t jump into bitcoin right away because I didn’t understand the transformational power of its underlying technology – the blockchain.

I needed to do a deep dive into the tech. After years of intense research, I realized blockchain was the real deal, with real value. Once I recognized this was the biggest technological breakthrough since the internet… I was ready to act.

In April 2016, I made my first two recommendations, bitcoin and ether. And since then, bitcoin is up 2,628%, while ether is up 3,469%.

But here’s the thing…

Uncovering opportunities in the fledgling crypto space wasn’t easy. I’ve easily spent hundreds of thousands of dollars and put in thousands of hours of legwork to find cryptos with the potential to unleash life-changing gains.

Here’s why I’m telling you this…

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Massive Change Is Coming

For the past several weeks, I’ve spent sleepless nights poring over white papers… reading obscure journals… and reaching out to my network of insiders to get to the bottom of this trend.

The new crypto trend I’m talking about is decentralized finance (DeFi). We also refer to it as “crypto finance.”

And based on what I’ve uncovered, I believe it could be the biggest boom in crypto since the initial coin offering (ICO) craze of 2017.

But just like the ICO craze, this space is rife with fraud… misrepresentation… and good old-fashioned stupidity. Navigating it is akin to making your way through a minefield.

I haven’t climbed a learning curve this steep since I first got into crypto assets in early 2016. It’s been a humbling experience.

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But I want to bring it to your attention because I believe you can make a fortune from it. I think it’ll remake our society the same way the internet remade the way we consume entertainment and the way we shop.

The internet has slain newspapers, television, and retailers. The next dragon to fall is the traditional finance system. Over the next decade, the way you bank, borrow money, lend money, receive loan approvals – even how you get paid – will be vastly different.

And if you act now to learn how that disruption will happen, I believe you can change the course of your financial life forever.

You see, the aim of crypto finance is to disrupt the entire traditional financial system by removing intermediaries or middlemen.

These financial middlemen suck out 6% of the value of global GDP annually. That’s $8.5 trillion per year in fees. That is a massive number.

Many so-called fintech firms have tried – and so far, failed – to loosen the chokehold traditional financial firms exert on the world.

It wasn’t until the creation of blockchain technology – along with smart contracts – that the pieces came into place to begin disrupting traditional finance.

Let me explain…

Smart contracts create all the logic needed for a computer program to automatically carry out functions. When you put a smart contract on a blockchain, it allows you to create software apps that can run without the need for a trusted third party.

When you can eliminate the need for a trusted third party… you can dramatically lower costs.

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Don’t Confuse DeFi With P2P

The closest traditional product to DeFi is peer-to-peer (P2P) lending. But even that is a bad comparison.

DeFi is built on interoperable protocols. That means each individual component of decentralized finance can work with one another.

Compare this to traditional financial firms… in which each firm has to create its own lending, trading, and risk management software.

This creates huge inefficiencies, because the same type of software development (trading, lending, etc.) has to be replicated across each individual financial firm.

With DeFi, the protocols are open source. That means you don’t have to keep reinventing the same wheel.

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You see, DeFi protocols are all built on the same programming language and use smart contracts, which means they can “talk” to one another. So programmers can write programs that can interact with these protocols freely.

This means new applications can be built that string together other blockchain applications in very unique ways.

Imagine if you were starting a new financial firm and you were able to use JPMorgan’s trading desk and Credit Suisse’s back office clearing… and have access to Nasdaq’s liquidity… in a completely automated system.

That’s impossible in the traditional financial world. But in DeFi, it’s not only possible… it’s happening right now.

DeFi applications on the blockchain will forever change the way we interact with money and financial services… the same way the internet changed the way we conduct commerce and consume entertainment.

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Over the past few years, I’ve cautiously introduced my subscribers to crypto financing. In my Crypto Income Quarterly newsletter, we’re using DeFi apps to yield potential gains of over 50%… with average returns of around 8–9%.

But I’ve treaded lightly in this space for a reason: It’s still risky.

There are massive amounts of fraud and programming errors. And they’ve imperiled hundreds of millions of dollars stored in DeFi projects. It’s easy to use these teething problems to dismiss DeFi. I would urge you not to do that.

Think about traditional payment firms like PayPal.

When PayPal first started, it had periods when it was losing $10 million per day due to fraud. Those teething problems didn’t stop PayPal from becoming a behemoth in the payment space with a $219 billion market cap.

As of this writing, $9 billion is locked up in DeFi applications. That’s a staggering sum of money for such an early-stage application of blockchain technology.

So it’s clear to me the DeFi trend is far more than a flash-in-the-pan mania.

But it’s still very early-stage technology and fraught with fraud… hacking attacks… and volatility. We must tread carefully. The eventual winner of DeFi may not even have been created yet.

And that’s why I’ll be doing even more research for you, hunting for the protocols, platforms, and nascent projects I believe could end up dominating this space.

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As I mentioned above, we’re seeing major changes in crypto finance. In fact, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC), the main bank regulator in the U.S., recently announced a major change to our financial system.

Most people will be caught by surprise, but the few who prepare now could come out of this wealthier than they ever thought possible. So if you have a U.S. bank account, click here to see how you should prepare for these changes.